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About Millsy

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    BFE Staff
  • Birthday 19/10/1953

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  1. Knitting this statistical treacle is all very well but there are too many variables to reach any conclusion - it will take years to sort things out. Stats nave not helped us at all it seems to me as rhe real trouble with all this started when every action was justified by some sort of data. Policy making has to be more than that - though I don't expect the Buffoon we have in No 10 to understand that, or his associates for that matter. It's now time for everyone to stand back and ask some serious questions about quality of life and human rights and what is quickly becoming a quasi-po
  2. I don't know about a myth but if I had a fiver for every time I heard a tourist say 'hey there's London Bridge' when on a train approaching London Bridge and catching a glimpse of the towers of Tower Bridge I'd be a few hundred quid to the good.
  3. Which is what I have been saying for months. And then there's the reliability or lack of it in the data themselves. Please do not try to base your actions on any of this stuff, just be sensible. After all you wouldn't leave your front door open when you go on holiday just because the crime stats for your area show a low level of burglary.
  4. You can't if all you do is read the papers and watch what passes for analysis on the BBC or from The Leader of the Conservative Party and his pal. All these media and this politician should be avoided. I have said repeatedly here that all these figures should be treated with the utmost caution, and of all the remarks I have made from time to time this is one I am actually qualified to make. It will take years of analysis before the quality and reliability of any of the figures on actual numbers with the virus is known. The truth or something like it might be revealed in the ONS long term sampl
  5. I do wish I was a mathematician as it occurs to me that the amount of variables involved in the functioning of such an app are almost bound to doom it to failure. If you take into account the number of networks, times that by the number of known blank spots in those networks, add in the sheer number of phones of all ages and makes, then consider the number of versions of all the operating systems and overlay all the human behaviour differences then it seems to me that the probability of such software not working for any particular user would be quite high.
  6. 'You can't' is the answer to both those questions. You know that. Everybody does. It's just that many simply won't admit it. And that applies as much to The Leader of the Conservative Party and his pals as to any academic with a computer or all the amateur epidemiologists on this forum. For what it's worth I have been staggered at the incredibly high levels of compliance we have seen from the start but unfortunately Mr Johnson, like one or two of his doomed predecessors, talked about over by Christmas and fatigue is setting in. Especially amongst small businesses who have not taken a penny sin
  7. Myth has it that Grouse Shooting is the roots of calling train spotters Gricers. Apparently a very upper class group of shooters approached a group of spotters and asked what the hell they were doing on the land with those cameras. One of the spotters said: "Well what are you doing with those guns?" The reply in a very strangled plummy accent was "Oh we're gricing." Which got the reply "We're Gricing too."
  8. I think there is a very real difference between city centres and smaller places. Down here most pubs could shut at 10.00 pm without inconveniencing more than an incalculably small percentage of the already incalculably small percentage of the population that ever darken their doors anyway. Even on a Friday night. I think it's one of the biggest changes in habits I've seen in my adult life from the days when you could not get a drink some weekends for the crowds to it being the same as every other night. Maybe we should differentiate between what might be described as Bars and Hostelries?
  9. Mr Whitty has spoken and so, as night follows day, have the markets. Somebody needs to give these medical experts some lessons in realpolitik. The railways are broke (and all the twenty years successfully persuading folk to leave their cars at home has been poured down the drain), tourism as we know it is finished, live entertainment is moribund most of it finished for good, the hospitality sector will follow. These are big money generators. The only thing that has stopped s full scale run on the banks is the fact that house prices have remained at lunatic levels. Wait till the re-possessions
  10. Stop reading the papers and their online editions and treat all stats with extreme caution. As for precautions down here retail is OK in our experience it is the irresponsibility of the hospitality sector that has been mind-boggling and if they get shut down again they will only have themselves to blame. It is matched really only by the ineptitude of the government and local councils and acting when and where they should.
  11. BF do seem to be finding as many ways as possible to keep digging.
  12. Personal contact allowed with my 90 year old father since February? 30 minutes in July. Visit planned for tomorrow just cancelled by the home. Yet if nothing else there are far too many exemptions to any policy announced (a list each time so predictable in the self-interest of politicians and public servants on fat salaries) for it to make any sense at all. Mrs M starts Jury Service at the end of the month. Exempt activity. A jury room - safe? Don't make me laugh. Sorry Colin it simply can't go on like this. Everybody knows this really deep down - except it seems The Leader of the
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